Q2 Mix tape

Here is our market update for Q2 2017.

  • The bull market has continued and shows little signs of slowing.
  • The media remains fixated on the White House, but the market is more attuned to corporate results and central bank activity. The Q2 earnings growth estimate for the S&P 500 is a robust 6.6%, according to FactSet.
  • The Fed stayed on course: It raised short-term interest rates 0.25% late in June and reiterated an expectation of one to two more hikes over the remainder of the year. Bonds still managed modest gains in this environment.   It also announced plans to begin slowly shrinking its bloated balance sheet by letting an increasing amount of bonds mature without replacing them. Overall, this creates a mild headwind for stocks.
  • Global expansion is on firm ground and the odds are low for a recession in the next 12 months.
  • For the second quarter, international stocks did better than US stocks.  We will see if this trend continues.
  • In the last year, we have had 42 new highs on the S&P500 and we have not had a 5 % correction in 262 trading days (as of 7/12/17).  We believe that the markets are due for more volatility and this would be perfectly normal.
  • Here are some key slides and more in the PDF below.  Be sure to look at the keys to success (page 2), p. 8 why institutional investors underperform, page 19-22 – the state of the current bull market and p. 23 the timeline for FED balance sheet reductions.
  •   Click HERE to download the PDF
  • Enjoy the rest of summer!

This has been one of the least volatile years for the stock market. 

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